Russian President Putin will keep saying that we will do this and that in the Russia vs. Ukraine war. He will also keep issuing various warnings and will also keep saying that we are close to winning the war. But so far he has not been able to do anything and will not be able to do anything in the future because issuing statements and fighting a war are two different things. I have written three months after the war started that the Russia-Ukraine war has now deteriorated. Putin’s strategy for fighting the war is wrong. When the war strategy is wrong, the war cannot be won with weapons or wealth. The faster and longer the war, the more damage Russia will suffer. Now, as time passes, this war will become a scourge for Russia. The war has become very long and Russia has lost this war. If the war lasts longer, the Russian people, Russian forces and Russian allies will become discouraged. If compared, Russia has not been able to win the war with its neighboring country so far, despite having immense weapons and modern forces. And the country was also a part of Russia. Russia has not achieved any significant victory in the war so far, which is proof that the Russian president, the Russian forces, and the Russian commanders have completely failed to win the war. If this war continues for a few more months, it will become a bone in the neck for Putin.
Important points to consider
1- Putin’s narrative
Russian President Putin’s narrative was that if Ukraine joins NATO, NATO will come to Russian borders. Putin’s narrative did not succeed. If Putin takes over Ukraine, then with whom will Russia’s national borders be? The borders will still be with NATO.
2- Putin’s training
There is no such thing as peace in Putin’s mindset and education. If he had not attacked Ukraine, he would have kept some other agenda. His training has been like martial law. He is not a man who thinks about peace or war. Whatever decision he has made, whatever the consequences are, he has to stick to it.
3- Winning the war
Putin had in his heart that within six months he would win the war in Ukraine and conquer Ukraine and prove to the whole world including NATO that he is a world power, but he failed in this goal. The main reason for the failure is the imperfect war strategy. It has been proven that wealth, weapons, armies, atomic bombs and a big country are not necessary, even with all of these you will definitely win the war.
4- Support of the Russian people and the decision to fight
Putin can only fight the war as long as the Russian people are with him. If the war drags on and the Russian people stop supporting Putin, Putin will lose the war without fighting it. Now the decision of the war depends on the Russian people. As long as the Russian president continues to have the support of the people, Russia can fight the war.
5- Ending and winning the war
It is not so easy for Putin to end the war and win it because the decision to end this war will not be made by the Ukrainian president, but by the allies. If the allies bear the pressure of the United States, the allies will not let this war end, and if this war does not end, the allies will eliminate both Putin and Russia.
6- Putin’s war strategy
In fact, Russia’s war strategy has completely failed. Russia did not know how to fight the war. If the strategy was good, Russia could have won this war in just six months. Russia has not yet been able to win a war with its neighboring country, which was a weak country, even though many allied countries are giving Russia weapons and troops, even then it could not win the war, so how will it fight a war with the whole world? The quality and prestige that Russia had built were also lost.
7- The success of Russian weapons
It is known because of Russian war weapons that Russia’s war equipment is of the best and highest quality and it is completely successful in defeating its enemy. But this war proved that despite using all kinds of weapons and war equipment, Russia has not been able to achieve any satisfactory results so far. The honor that was built up so far was also lost.
8- Economic crisis
In fact, the decision to go to war will be made by the Russian government. If there is no economic crisis and Russia is able to maintain its economic position, then Russia will be saved from being defeated in the war, and if there is an economic crisis, Russia will lose the war without fighting.
9- International support
The biggest reason for Russia’s failure in the war is that Russia does not have international support at all in this war. The support of the countries that have been supporting Russia in the war so far has not yielded any satisfactory results. No major country in the world has openly stood with Russia. Russia has completely failed to gain international support.
10- Russia’s international relations
Not only did Russia suffer losses due to the war, but Russia has permanently damaged its international relations with Europe, NATO and many other countries. Now, even if there is a ceasefire, these relations will never be restored. If they are restored, there will always be a lack of trust.
11- Diplomatic Policy
Russia’s diplomatic policy in the Russia-Ukraine war has completely failed. No major country in the world has openly stood with Russia. The Russian mission in the world has not learned how to work on the diplomatic level, how to achieve success on the diplomatic front and how to work in a war situation. Apart from China and North Korea, the Russian embassy could not succeed in political, economic, social, military and propaganda campaigns. Even in the media war, Russia was completely defeated.
12- Solution to the problems
The Russia-Ukraine war has deteriorated and has become more and more complicated. This war has become a headache for Russia and Ukraine. Both countries are trying to get rid of the war as soon as possible, but now the war is not going away. The only solution to this problem is for both countries to cease fire. Ukraine should declare that it will not join NATO and Russia should withdraw from the occupied territories and establish a Ukrainian II government in the occupied territory of Ukraine and leave the territory itself and hand over to its supported Ukrainian II team.
13- Lack of leadership
Apart from Russian President Putin, Russia has no leadership. There is neither political leadership nor global leadership. Due to the lack of leadership, Russia has completely lost militarily, politically, economically and socially. Internationally, Russia has also become isolated. Due to the lack of leadership, Putin makes all the decisions. A single person, decisions can be right or wrong, and their results can also be different. The one-man show is becoming the main reason for Russia’s failure and after Putin, there is no such leadership that can lead Russia to progress in the future.
14- Russia’s Future
In all the wars Russia has fought in the past, Russia has not benefited from them, but rather other countries have benefited. Despite doing everything, Russia has not been able to form a strong alliance of its own. Russia’s own military, economic, social, and diplomatic policies have always been unsuccessful. Russia has had conflicts due to the failure of policies. Now Russia needs to be strengthened economically, militarily, socially, and diplomatically. Russia is lucky that President Donald Trump won the US presidential election. As long as US President Donald Trump is in power, Russia will continue to benefit on every front. If there is no peace agreement and the Russia-Ukraine war continues, the future of Russian President Putin and Russia may be in danger. Only US President Donald Trump can make Russia successful by concluding a peace agreement. Russia has suffered a lot due to Russia’s wrong war strategy. If the war strategy was good, Russia could have won this war without fighting. If there is no ceasefire, not only is Russia’s integrity at risk, but Putin will also die. Russia’s future is as long as Putin is alive. If Putin is gone, Russia is gone.
Issued by: www.worldadvisorofficial.com
Email: worldadvisorofficial@gmail.com
Maqbool Bhatti (Pakistan) +92300-6644086